As outlined last night, Fingolfin's plan is one that doesn't focus on a strategically sound military action, but one that could be described more as a 'Hail Mary' attempt, aimed at the hope of intervention from the Valar. So, talking anyone into being on board with his plan is challenging, because it seems rather foolhardy and rash.
- The current situation, or status quo, is an ongoing (mostly) successful Siege of Angband. This has been in place for nearly 400 years, and apart from the Dagor Aglareb and the incursion by Glaurung, there has been nothing more serious than a minor skirmish in that time. In other words...what the elves are doing is working, despite there being no guarantee that Morgoth is permanently contained.
- The Siege was Fingolfin's plan, but it was introduced as the temporary measure until the Noldor were ready to attack Angband. Early on, it seemed that it was just a matter of the Noldor getting their realms established, building some fortifications, and forming up their armies. As time went on, those plans shifted. Finrod and Turgon built secret realms that aren't part of the Siege. The Kinslaying reveal means no help from Doriath. The need to attack Angband became less pressing for most of the characters. Time passed...
- We know the Dagor Bragollach is coming. The Noldor don't know that.
Into that background situation, Fingolfin comes up with a daring/risky plan of attack. It's really not surprising that he can't get buy-in. His plan is the sort of thing you do when you are desperate and out of options...and none of them feel that desperate. They're comfortable, and content to let the status quo stretch a bit longer. So, sure, Hador should be on board - let's attack now, in my lifetime! And Aegnor will be on board, expressing some hope that the Valar will surely come now, if they told Fingolfin they would. But the natural reaction is going to be...reservation.
The main issue was that there are very few circumstances in which Fingon and Maedhros would show reservations about attacking Angband. Tolkien tells us that only Aegnor and Angrod were on board with the plan, though. So, what gives?
The idea that the Fëanoreans would have to renounce the Oath first would make the plan a non-starter for Maedhros and his brothers (well, except for Amras). While we can intellectually have Fingon and Maedhros oppose this plan based on weak strategy, a demand to renounce the Oath is more visceral and ends the discussion. So, the Fëanoreans cannot join and are not on board. Doriath won't get involved. Turgon is MIA. Finrod has his own message from Ulmo to live out. So, while they have the Men of Dor-Lomin and the Elves of Dorthonion....Fingon has to be able to do the math and realize that their numbers are too few for such an ambitious plan. It's not going to work...and he's probably not willing to risk everyone's life on the hope that the Valar will intervene.
Gandalf's plan to attack the Black Gate with about 6,000 men at the end of
Return of the King is a very risky and foolish action -- militarily speaking, they have zero chance of defeating Sauron's army with this maneuver. But...it's not a bad distraction to give the Ringbearer a chance to complete his mission. This is a similarly risky proposal. The difference is that no one is feeling as desperate, or that they will inevitably lose if they don't do this. Very few of the Noldor have reached the 'we're gonna lose' level of despair at this point in time. Amras is there, sure, but no one else. Maybe some of the people in Gondolin (but not Turgon, I don't think).
Ange1e4e5 said:
So, no, Curufin is not going to directly influence Fingolfin to take the suicidal action he does at the end of the Season. What was suggested was that Curufin's reaction to learning of this plan might be...so...the High King wants to plan a reckless and foolhardy battle? Well, if he dies in it, then we get to choose a new High King. A better one. And why not a Fëanorean? So, he may see an opportunity for a change in leadership among the Noldor, but he's not going to voice that out loud directly. He's not going to encourage Fingolfin to get himself killed or anything. And once he hears about the demand that they renounce their Oath, his reaction is going to boil down to 'how dare you.'